The promises of an AI-enabled future depend on deploying enough computational power, storage, and networking systems to train and run increasingly complex models. These models process enormous amounts of data, execute sophisticated algorithms, and make intelligent predictions or decisions by learning from this data. As AI expands into applications such as AI agents, autonomous vehicles, and humanoid robots, the need for high performance compute intensifies further, pushing demand well beyond current supply growth.
This demand imbalance is visible in the tremendous amount of money being directed at building data centers. Four of the largest hyperscalers—Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft—are together expected to spend nearly $600 billion to build data centers in 2026, up from approximately $350 billion in 2025 (Exhibit 1). With trillions more committed to future projects, the annual total global expenditure is forecasted to more than double by 2030.1 Meeting the expanding global demand for AI solutions will require a sustained, large-scale investment in AI infrastructure.
For investors, this level of spending represents an opportunity. While headlines about AI infrastructure often focus on who is doing the spending and the amount being spent, it is worthwhile to pay attention to where that money is going—who is being paid. Understanding where the money is going and the market dynamics driving that is incredibly relevant when deciding where to gain AI investing exposure.
Source: Company data, Lazard Asset Management research, Bloomberg.
Notes: Amazon (AMZN) refers to AWS capex spend only, Microsoft (MSFT) data includes capital leases. Capex
spend estimates for 2025 and 2026 are Bloomberg consensus.
To appreciate how and where value is being created and captured in AI Infrastructure, it is critical to take a step back and understand what goes into designing, constructing, and operating AI data centers. Although physically unremarkable from the outside, these facilities house complex, tightly integrated systems designed for high-density, low latency computing.
Data center infrastructure can be categorized into three main functions: compute, storage, and networking:
Compute
The hardware backbone that processes data and powers AI systems utilizing specialized chips (GPUs, TPUs), application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs), and highbandwidth memory (HBM)
Storage
The architecture dedicated specifically to data persistence and management
Networking
The interconnectivity fabric—comprising switches, routers, and cabling—that manages data flow within a data center and links to external end users
For example, specialized software solutions play a key role at several levels—from chip design to cybersecurity to orchestration, monitoring, and optimization tools—to maximize performance and minimize disruptions. Similarly, industrial equipment is crucial to maintaining operating efficiency—data centers consume enormous amounts of electricity and generate significant heat, making power management and cooling solutions vital to keep servers running reliably.
These are just a few of the integrated layers of infrastructure that work in conjunction to deliver AI services and support applications. It is an extensive value chain of technology providers, with each piece serving a particular and necessary role in the process (Exhibit 2).
We believe a clear view of the value chain is critical when looking for investment opportunities. It allows us to chart where value is flowing and, more importantly, where it is accruing.
The mismatch between the unprecedented demand for AI and the time-consuming, capital-intensive expansion of infrastructure capacity is the result of several bottlenecks throughout the value chain:
Power
The exponential, 24/7 energy demand of new, high-density AI data centers is exceeding the ability of power grids to upgrade infrastructure. Data centers can be built in approximately 2 years, while the regulatory, permitting, and construction process for new power plants and high-voltage transmission lines could often take 5 to 10+ years, creating a massive bottleneck.
Memory
AI servers typically need 6x more dynamic random- access memory (DRAM) than standard servers do, driving up memory prices. Demand for HBM is accelerating even faster. Manufacturers are trying to improve supply either by improving efficiency or migrating to more advanced technology nodes, while expanding capacity is challenging given limited clean room space.
Leading-Edge Foundry
The ability to manufacture the most advanced semiconductors for AI is severely constrained. Constructing a new leading-edge semiconductor foundry (at 3 nm or 2 nm nodes) is costly (at around $20–25 billion per facility) and time-consuming and is further exacerbated by a shortage in specialized labor.
However, many of the companies that operate on the supply side of these bottlenecks can benefit from greater pricing power, earnings leverage, and visibility into long-term demand.
Conclusion
While the AI narrative often focuses on the companies spending heavily on infrastructure, the more relevant question for investors should be where the value ultimately lands. As AI proliferation drives massive, multi-year investment across data center infrastructure, opportunities are emerging in the upstream layers of the value chain—particularly where supply is tight and replacement cycles are long.
Understanding how these dynamics have developed and are evolving will be key to identifying the businesses best-positioned to capture the next decade of AI-driven growth.
Notes
1. Dell’Oro Group, AI Boom Drives Data Center Capex to $1.7 Trillion by 2030, February 11, 2026
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Published on 1 May 2026.
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